Arizona — Governor

Andy Biggs (R) vs Katie Hobbs (D).

Count in progress (66% of the expected vote): Katie Hobbs (D) 58.4%; Andy Biggs (R) 40.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 4%.