Iowa — Governor

Zach Lahn (R) vs Rob Sand (D).

Count in progress (55% of the expected vote): Rob Sand (D) 57.2%; Zach Lahn (R) 42.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 10%.