Illinois — Governor

Darren Bailey (R) vs JB Pritzker (D).

Called by the AP: JB Pritzker (D). JB Pritzker (D) 59.3%; Darren Bailey (R) 37.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 2.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.