Michigan — Governor

John James (R) vs Jocelyn Benson (D).

Count in progress (29% of the expected vote): Jocelyn Benson (D) 54.1%; John James (R) 44.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 3%.