New Hampshire — Governor

Kelly Ayotte (R) vs Cinde Warmington (D).

Count in progress (66% of the expected vote): Kelly Ayotte (R) 50.5%; Cinde Warmington (D) 47.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.