New Mexico — Governor

Gregg Hull (R) vs Deb Haaland (D).

Called by the AP: Deb Haaland (D). Deb Haaland (D) 56.6%; Gregg Hull (R) 43.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 4.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 1%.