Pennsylvania — Governor

Stacy Garrity (R) vs Josh Shapiro (D).

Called by the AP: Josh Shapiro (D). Josh Shapiro (D) 60.2%; Stacy Garrity (R) 38.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.