South Dakota — Governor

Larry Rhoden (R) vs Dan Ahlers (D).

Count in progress (28% of the expected vote): Larry Rhoden (R) 66.9%; Dan Ahlers (D) 33.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 2.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.