Tennessee — Governor

Marsha Blackburn (R) vs Jerri Green (D).

Count in progress (84% of the expected vote): Marsha Blackburn (R) 45.2%; Jerri Green (D) 43.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 5.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.