Texas — Governor

Greg Abbott (R) vs Gina Hinojosa (D).

Count in progress (64% of the expected vote): Gina Hinojosa (D) 57.1%; Greg Abbott (R) 41.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 10.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 80%.