Wisconsin — Governor

Tom Tiffany (R) vs David Crowley (D).

Count in progress (72% of the expected vote): David Crowley (D) 53.9%; Tom Tiffany (R) 46.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 9.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 14%.