Alabama 1

Jerry Carl (R) vs Clyde Jones Jr. (D).

Count in progress (64% of the expected vote): Jerry Carl (R) 54.5%; Clyde Jones (D) 45.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.