Alabama 2

Rhett Marques (R) vs Shomari Figures (D).

Count in progress (90% of the expected vote): Shomari Figures (D) 53.8%; Rhett Marques (R) 46.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 3.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 69%.