Arkansas 4

Bruce Westerman (R) vs James Russell (D).

Called by the AP: Bruce Westerman (R). Bruce Westerman (R) 65.3%; James Russell (D) 34.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.