Arizona 8

Abraham Hamadeh (R) vs Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D).

Count in progress (68% of the expected vote): Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D) 51.0%; Abraham Hamadeh (R) 49.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.