Florida 12

Gus Bilirakis (R) vs Kimberly Overman (D).

Called by the AP: Gus Bilirakis (R). Gus Bilirakis (R) 52.8%; Kimberly Overman (D) 45.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.