Florida 16

Sydney Gruters (R) vs Kelly Kirschner (D).

Called by the AP: Sydney Gruters (R). Sydney Gruters (R) 51.1%; Kelly Kirschner (D) 47.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 2.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 88%.