Florida 18

Scott Franklin (R) vs Curtis Gibson (D).

Called by the AP: Scott Franklin (R). Scott Franklin (R) 49.7%; Curtis Gibson (D) 47.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.