Florida 19

Jim Schwartzel (R) vs Victor Arias (D).

Called by the AP: Jim Schwartzel (R). Jim Schwartzel (R) 61.1%; Victor Arias (D) 37.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.