Florida 21

Brian Mast (R) vs James Martin (D).

Called by the AP: Brian Mast (R). Brian Mast (R) 54.0%; James Martin (D) 44.7%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.