Florida 26

Mario Díaz-Balart (R) vs Nicole Locklin (D).

Count in progress (99% of the expected vote): Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 49.9%; Nicole Locklin (D) 49.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.