Florida 28

Carlos A. Giménez (R) vs Phil Ehr (D).

Called by the AP: Carlos Gimenez (R). Carlos Gimenez (R) 52.9%; Phil Ehr (D) 45.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.