Florida 4

Aaron Bean (R) vs LaShonda Holloway (D).

Called by the AP: Aaron Bean (R). Aaron Bean (R) 50.3%; LaShonda Holloway (D) 48.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 96%.