Indiana 4

Jim Baird (R) vs Drew Cox (D).

Count in progress (91% of the expected vote): Jim Baird (R) 53.2%; Drew Cox (D) 46.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.