Indiana 5

Victoria Spartz (R) vs J. D. Ford (D).

Count in progress (95% of the expected vote): J.D. Ford (D) 51.7%; Victoria Spartz (R) 48.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 3.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 91%.