Kansas 2

Derek Schmidt (R) vs Don Coover (D).

Count in progress (72% of the expected vote): Derek Schmidt (R) 48.6%; Don Coover (D) 47.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 1.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 93%.