Kentucky 4

Ed Gallrein (R) vs Melissa Strange (D).

Called by the AP: Ed Gallrein (R). Ed Gallrein (R) 54.2%; Melissa Strange (D) 40.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.