Kentucky 6

Ralph Alvarado (R) vs Zach Dembo (D).

Called by the AP: Zach Dembo (D). Zach Dembo (D) 52.7%; Ralph Alvarado (R) 43.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 44%.