Maryland 1

Andy Harris (R) vs Dan Schwartz (D).

Count in progress (81% of the expected vote): Andy Harris (R) 55.4%; Dan Schwartz (D) 44.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 1.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 96%.