Maryland 3

Berney Flowers (R) vs Sarah Elfreth (D).

Called by the AP: Sarah Elfreth (D). Sarah Elfreth (D) 66.5%; Berney Flowers (R) 33.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.