Maine 2

Paul LePage (R) vs Matthew Dunlap (D).

Count in progress (34% of the expected vote): Paul LePage (R) 53.4%; Matt Dunlap (D) 46.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 59%.