Michigan 11

Ethan Baker (R) vs Jeremy Moss (D).

Called by the AP: Jeremy Moss (D). Jeremy Moss (D) 59.5%; Ethan Baker (R) 38.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.