Michigan 4

Bill Huizenga (R) vs Sean McCann (D).

Count in progress (5% of the expected vote): Bill Huizenga (R) 62.0%; Sean McCann (D) 36.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 5.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 49%.