Michigan 5

Tim Walberg (R) vs Christian Vukasovich (D).

Count in progress (19% of the expected vote): Tim Walberg (R) 64.4%; Christian Vukasovich (D) 33.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.