Michigan 9

Lisa McClain (R) vs Ray Pooley (D).

Count in progress (30% of the expected vote): Lisa McClain (R) 62.5%; Ray Pooley (D) 34.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.