Missouri 2

Ann Wagner (R) vs Fred Wellman (D).

Count in progress (84% of the expected vote): Fred Wellman (D) 51.8%; Ann Wagner (R) 45.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 81%.