Missouri 5

Rick Brattin (R) vs Emanuel Cleaver (D).

Called by the AP: Emanuel Cleaver (D). Emanuel Cleaver (D) 71.0%; Rick Brattin (R) 26.7%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.