Missouri 8

Jason Smith (R) vs Chris Reichard (D).

Called by the AP: Jason Smith (R). Jason Smith (R) 67.5%; Chris Reichard (D) 29.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.