Montana 1

Aaron Flint (R) vs Sam Forstag (D).

Count in progress (13% of the expected vote): Aaron Flint (R) 48.4%; Sam Forstag (D) 48.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 50%.