North Carolina 13

Brad Knott (R) vs Paul Barringer (D).

Count in progress (96% of the expected vote): Paul Barringer (D) 50.8%; Brad Knott (R) 47.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 98%.