North Carolina 5

Virginia Foxx (R) vs Chuck Hubbard (D).

Count in progress (95% of the expected vote): Virginia Foxx (R) 49.0%; Chuck Hubbard (D) 48.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.