North Carolina 6

Addison McDowell (R) vs Cyril Jefferson (D).

Count in progress (97% of the expected vote): Cyril Jefferson (D) 50.8%; Addison McDowell (R) 49.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.