North Carolina 8

Mark Harris (R) vs Colby Watson (D).

Count in progress (99% of the expected vote): Mark Harris (R) 50.3%; Colby Watson (D) 48.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.