Nebraska 1

Mike Flood (R) vs Chris Backemeyer (D).

Count in progress (38% of the expected vote): Chris Backemeyer (D) 54.1%; Mike Flood (R) 43.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 4.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 87%.