New Jersey 4

Chris Smith (R) vs Rachel Peace (D).

Called by the AP: Christopher Smith (R). Christopher Smith (R) 59.1%; Rachel Peace (D) 40.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.