New Mexico 2

Greg Cunningham (R) vs Gabe Vasquez (D).

Count in progress (41% of the expected vote): Gabriel Vasquez (D) 58.4%; Gregory Cunningham (R) 41.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 3.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 12%.