New York 1

Nick LaLota (R) vs Chris Gallant (D).

Count in progress (73% of the expected vote): Nick LaLota (R) 50.3%; Christopher Gallant (D) 49.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 1.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 91%.