New York 12

— (R) vs Micah Lasher (D).

Called by the AP: Micah Lasher (D). Micah Lasher (D) 77.3%; Caroline Shinkle (R) 20.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.