New York 2

Andrew Garbarino (R) vs {{Party stripe|Working Families Party}}[[Patrick G. Halpin|Patrick Halpin]] (D).

Count in progress (63% of the expected vote): Patrick Halpin (D) 50.4%; Andrew Garbarino (R) 49.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 97%.