New York 21

Anthony Constantino (R) vs Blake Gendebien (D).

Count in progress (66% of the expected vote): Anthony Constantino (R) 50.8%; Blake Gendebien (D) 49.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 81%.